流域水资源实时调度研究——以黑河流域为例

Basin water resources real-time allocation:Case study in the Heihe River basin

系统地总结了流域水资源实时调度的研究现状和调度的基本理论依据。流域水资源实时调度以显式考虑人类活动影响的二元动态水资源演化模式为其理论基础,提出了“宏观总控、长短嵌套、实时决策、滚动修正”的流域水资源实时调度的模式。并以黑河流域为例,进行了应用研究,初步应用表明,该模式能满足流域水资源实时调度管理的需要,可为我国北方干旱半干旱地区流域水资源实时调度提供借鉴。

The paper summarizes the advances of basin water resources real-time allocation, and expatiates the necessity and the development of the water resources management in Heihe River basin. Due to the impact of human activities on hydrological cycle, the one-dimensional static hydrological model can not adapt to basin hydrological cycle. Therefore, the two-dimensional dynamic hydrological model, which gives full consideration to human activities, is developed. The paper gives the principles of the basin water resources real-time allocation, i.e. to operate by the long term water resoures allocation, to consider long term water allocation with short term goals, to make real-time decision, and to modify the results dynamically. An example application to Heihe River basin illustrates the process of the water resources real-time allocation. The study makes a probe into basin water resource real-time allocation and may provide an example for arid and semi-arid areas in North China.