加入WTO对中国双边贸易增长贡献的实证研究——兼论影响中国双边贸易增长的因素被引量：16

An Empirical Research on WTO′s Contribution to China′s Bilateral Trade Growth ——Also on Other Factors That Influence China′s Bilateral Trade Growth

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摘要本文根据中国双边贸易的实际情况,对传统的贸易引力模型进行了改进,应用改进后的引力模型研究了加入WTO对中国双边贸易增长的贡献,并探讨了其它因素对中国双边贸易增长的影响。研究结果表明,加入WTO对中国与WTO成员之间的双边贸易增长贡献了19.6%,贸易伙伴GDP增长、中国GDP增长、贸易伙伴对中国的直接投资额、APEC的贸易制度安排、香港和新加坡的转口贸易等因素都对中国贸易增长有显著正面影响,而运输成本则是阻碍中国与贸易伙伴之间贸易增长的主要因素。 A modified gravity model is employed to research on WTO＇s contribution to China＇s bilateral trade growth and other factors that influence China＇s bilateral trade growth. The findings show that China entry of WTO contributed 19.6% to its bilateral trade growth, bilateral GDP, FDI to China. APEC have great positive influence on China＇s bilateral trade growth, while transport cost is the main negative factor to the trade growth.

作者史朝兴顾海英

机构地区上海对外贸易学院WTO研究教育学院上海交通大学管理学院

出处《财贸研究》北大核心 2006年第3期49-52,70,共5页 Finance and Trade Research

基金国家自然科学基金项目(项目号:70473057) 上海重点学科(第二期)资助项目(项目号:T1201)。

关键词 WTO 引力模型双边贸易贸易增长 WTO gravity model bilateral trade trade growth

分类号 F741.2 [经济管理—国际贸易]

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