一种基于对抗效果的地面防空作战威胁估计方法

A Ground Air Threat Assessment Method Based on Oppose Effect

针对当前防空作战威胁估计中尚未考虑攻防对抗因素,提出了一种基于对抗效果的变权综合威胁估计方法。该方法首先依据随机服务理论建立防空作战服务对抗模型,然后将进袭目标突防概率提取为威胁因素;同时对常权综合方法进行改进,依据各威胁因素状态动态调整其对应权值,使最终综合的威胁结论更加合乎实际情况,从而提高了对作战决策的支持程度。

To aim at the problem of never thinking about opposability in air threat assessment, A method of air threat assessment based on oppose effect are gave. At first, the method built on air defense service oppose model according to random service theory, then extracted breach probability to threat factor. At the same time improved invariable weight aggregate, changed the weight value according to the factors configuration. This method would make the threat assessment result more reasonable, strengthening support for the battle decision.