基于细胞自动机与多主体系统理论的城市模拟原型模型

A Prototype of Urban Simulation Model Based on the Theories and Methodologies of Cellular Automata(CA) and Multi-Agent System(MAS)

文章从城市地理学模拟模型研究发展相对滞后的现实出发,分析了传统城市模型模拟存在的问题与不足,讨论了计算机科学、复杂性研究、地理信息科学与技术、新发展的地学计算方法等作为计算城市模型发展基础的可行性,提出了一个基于细胞自动机与多主体系统理论与方法、包容了多尺度(宏观、中观、微观)层次的综合可计算城市模拟原型模型框架,对以邻里社区为基础的居住区位微观模拟模型作了概念上的讨论,分析了地学计算方法在城市模拟模型研究中的发展前沿。

Faced upon the fact of relatively lagged development in urban simulation and modeling, the problems and inadequacies consisted in traditional urban simulation have been analyzed in this paper. This paper discussed the possibility using a lot of theories and methods originated from computational science, complex researches, geographic information science and geocomputation developed recently as the foundation of computational urban models. A prototype of computational urban simulation model, which integrated the activities on the macro-, meso- and micro-level scales, has been put forward based on the theories and methodologies of cellular automata and multi-agent system. The formation method and structure of a residential location choice model on the neighborhood scale, which as a base of the prototype, have been discussed conceptually. At last, the paper analyses the future development in the field of urban simulation and modeling.