逻辑斯谛模型在预测油气田可采储量中的应用

Application of Logistic Model in Predicting Recoverable Reserves of Oil and Gas Fields

逻辑斯谛模型是一个属于增长类型的模型,经过简单的推导得到了开发时间、原始储量、可采储量的采出程度,以及采出程度与开发时间之间的关系。矿场实例运用表明:该模型计算简单、预测精度较高,可作为油田制定中、长期开发规划的依据。

Logistic model is a type of growth model.Through simple derivation,it can obtain development time,OOIP,degree of reserves recovery,and relation between degree of reserve s recovery and development time.Pilot application shows that,this model has simple calculation and accurate prediction,and can be used as evidence for mid-long term development planning.