摘要
本文在各种建设条件下构建了若干我国石油供需动力模型,在各种假设条件下对我国未来15年的石油供需量进行了数值模拟,并提出了相应的解决我国石油供需矛盾的方案.
Along with the high -speed development of national economy, the dependence on international oil market is increasing. The balance of supply and demand of petroleum becomes a serious problem in China. Therefore, we present several recommendations and projects for solving the contradiction between supply and demand of petroleum in China correspondingly based on constructing several dynamic models of oil production and consummation, and made a prediction from 2005 to 2028. The author suggests that we should enhance the efficiency of oil utilization, use clean energy as much as possible and import petroleum by engaging in resources-oriented diplomacy, for ensureing the petroleum security in China.
出处
《南京师大学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2006年第2期120-123,共4页
Journal of Nanjing Normal University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(40371044)
关键词
石油
模型
预测
建议
petroleum, model, prediction, suggestion
