粮食产量短期预测系统的建立

Short-Term Forecasting for Food and Grain Production

本文从我国粮食生产的特点出发,以粮食产量预测为目标,在定性与定量分析的基础上,综合考虑计量经济模型与规划模型的特点,构建了粮食产量闭环预测系统,并结合系统仿真技术实现了该系统。运行该系统对产量预测进行模拟分析,表明它能较准确的预测产量。

This paper introduces a short-term forecasting system of the food and grain production by using econometric and programming models with the consideration of China＇ s peculiarity. This system is a closed-loop system realized with the system simulation technology.