农产品贸易对中国经济增长作用的实证分析

Empirical Studies of Effect of Agricultural Product Trade on China Economic Augment

运用农产品贸易增值系数、农产品贸易对中国GDP的拉动度及线性回归分析等方法,将农产品贸易对中国经济增长的作用做了实证分析。结果显示:中国农产品贸易每增长1个百分点,GDP增长1.452个百分点,其中农产品贸易出口的贡献率为50.3%,农产品贸易进口的贡献率为49.7%。同时针对中国农产品贸易发展存在的问题,提出了相应的对策建议。

By synthetic use of the value - augmented coefficient of agricultural product trade and linear regression analysis, the paper makes empirical studies of the effect of agricultural product trade on China＇ s economic augment. The results show that with agricultural product trade increasing 1%, GDP increasing 1.452%, including 50.3% of the value contributed by the experts from agricultural product trade and contributed by the imports from agricultural product trade. The paper concludes with some relevant suggestions.