系统状态转移概率矩阵在企业集群状态预测中的应用

Applications of System Situation Transition Probability Matrix in Enterprise Clusters Forecast

本文阐述了马尔可夫决策理论中最基本的分析方法——系统状态转移概率矩阵决策法,并用此方法对企业集群市场的状态进行了分析,对各种状态的未来分布趋势和分布状况进行了预测,从而为政府进行市场调节提供了理论依据和指导方法。

This article first introduces the basic analysis method of Markovian decision method-the decision of system situation transition probability matrix. Then, by using this method it analyzes the situation of enterprise clusters, forecasts future tendency and distribution situation of all the situations, and comes up with theoretical and methodological direction for the government to proceed market adjustment.