双机编队的对地攻击效能分析

Operational effectiveness analyses of air-to-ground strike for two-plane formation

双机编队是空防体系对抗中一种主要的作战模式,其目的是为了更有效地打击敌战略目标.通过采用概率论中常用于效能评估的马尔柯夫随机过程理论,建立了双机编队条件下对敌对战略目标进行攻击的战场想定和数学模型,推导出任务成功率、目标被毁率和飞机损失率等作战效能指标的计算公式.最后,通过生存力扩展因子的引入,在比较双机独立和双机编队相关效能指标的基础上指出了双机编队的作战优势.

Two-plane formation is a main organization of the battle mode in the rivalry of air defense, which can fight the enemy＇s strategic target more effectively. By using Markov random processes, a method of probability, which usually can be used in the evaluation of system＇s effectiveness, the prediction of battle field and the mathematics model under the condition of two-plane formation which attacked the enemy strategic target in a threat environroent were built. The operational effectiveness measures of the two-plane formation, including the probability of mission success, the probability that the target was killed and the probability that the aircraft was killed for an airto-ground target attacking operation were deduced. Finally, by introducing viability enhanced quotient in an instance, the superiority of two-plane formation in attacking the enemy strategic surface target in a dangerous environment was validated by means of the comparison between two-plane interindependence and two-plane formation in their relative effectiveness measures.