中国财政收支的体制分离问题实证研究被引量：11

The Experimental Research on the Problem of Separation of Revenue and Expenditure System of Public Finance of China

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摘要回答了如下问题：长期赤字之下,中国财政收支之间的关系到底如何？能否实现自动平衡？中国预算体制是否能对赤字进行有效的约束？未来预算如何改革？此外,本文还强调在经济建设的同时,必须重视预算的长期均衡性原则,建立财政收支科学合理的关系．确保财政收支在一个较长的时间段内实现平衡。 Chinese economy has experienced rise and fall five times after reform. Fiscal deficit has lasted for 20 years since 1986,and the estimated budget deficit is 300 billion Yuan in 2005 .This essay tells the mot of long-run fiscal deficit resided in institutional separation of fiscal revenue and fiscal expenditure, by using ＂stepwise Granger-causality test＂ and ＂variable augmentation approach＂. Also, we give some suggestions for improving fiscal revenue and expenditure decision-making, and controlling fiscal deficit.

作者吴凯储敏伟

机构地区上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院上海财经大学

出处《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第6期22-27,共6页 Statistical Research

基金国家自然科学基金项目(编号70273018)阶段性研究成果。

关键词收支关系体制分离 GRANGER因果增加变量法

分类号 F812.2 [经济管理—财政学]

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