一种产量预测的新方法

A new method of production prediction

目前油田产量预测的方法只是对老区进行预测,在油田开发规划中按产量构成往往涉及到老区老井产量的预测,为此首次建立了老区老井产量预测模型———产量组成法作为产量预测的新方法。为验证方法的科学性及可行性,将其应用于辽河油区不同油品老区老井产量的预测中,并与常规预测方法进行对比分析,得到了较为满意的结果。该方法简单实用,为老区老井产量预测提供了一种新方法。

Current oilfield production prediction is only conducted for old field.A new production prediction model——production composition method is established for old wells in old fields.This method has been used to predict the production of different oils in old wells of Liaohe oilfield and correlated with conventional method,and the result is satisfactory.This method is simple and practical.