拦截弹单发杀伤概率仿真计算研究

Calculation Research on Kill Probability of One Missile

首先分析了单发导弹杀伤概率计算模型,然后分别介绍了制导误差分布概率、引信启动区分布概率、引信启动概率、战斗部条件杀伤概率的计算模型,给出了积分区间的确定方法,最后针对一个具体的实例进行了仿真计算,并对仿真结果进行了分析。

The kill probability of one missile was analyzed firstly, and then the error distributing probability of control and guide, the real detonating area distributing probability of fuze, the detonating probability of fuze and the conditional kill probability of warhead were introduced. The integral range of probability calculation was determined. An example simulation was conducted at last and the result was analyzed.