企业生命周期的系统动力学建模与仿真

Modeling and Simulation of Corporate Lifecycle Using System Dynamics

从系统动力学角度研究企业生命周期变化中不同因素的影响。分析企业成长过程和主要影响之后,建立能够反映企业生命周期变化的因果关系图和动力学模型。用C#语言实现了系统动力学模型,验证了模型的有效性,讨论了模型的应用。仿真结果表明本文方法能够有效模拟企业生命周期的演化过程,并且能够为管理者进行企业组织管理与活力控制提供决策支持。

The various effects of the factors on corporate lifecycle are studied using system dynamics. By analyzing the growing process and the key factors, a causal graph and a system dynamical model, which can describe the changes of corporate lifecycle, are built. The system dynamical model is coded by language C#. The validation of the model is taken, and it is applied to an example. The simulation results show that the method of the model is valid for simulating the revolution of corporation lifecycle, and can be served as computer aided decision tool for managers to control the cooperation organization and its vitality.