论我国贸易条件恶化而收入贸易条件改善的后果

On the Consequences of the Deterioration of Trade Conditions and the Improvement on the Income Trade Conditions in China

国内一份研究表明,根据计算自1993年到2002年中国贸易条件恶化13%;但同时,出口量的高速增长,使得收入贸易条件大幅改善。文章认为:由于我国粗放式的增长模式仍未得到实质性的改善,支持贸易增长的环境代价偏高;同时贸易利益分配中存在的缺陷限制了出口增长对我国国民福利的带动;贸易条件恶化而收入贸易条件改善也是导致贸易摩擦不断升级的原因之一。因此,就国民福利而言,贸易条件恶化与收入贸易条件改善并存的后果是消极的。

Since the crude increasing mode in China has not been substantially bettered, the environment cost behind the trade increase is still comparatively high. Besides, the deficiencies in trade interest allocation restrict the positive influence of the export increase upon the national welfare. Meanwhile, the deterioration of trade conditions and the improvement of income trade conditions also account for the continual upgrading of the trade abrasions. As a result, in so far as national welfare is concerned, there is a negative consequence in the coexistence of the deterioration of trade conditions and the improvement of income trade conditions.