基于需求链模型的中国农机化问题的博弈分析

Game Analyses on the Agricultural Mechanization of China on the Basis of the Demand Chain Model

分析中国农机化问题要有正确的思路,如果思路不正确,得到的结论往往似是而非。从需求和需求链的角度分析农机化问题,是理解和分析中国农机化问题的关键。作者对农户关于农机的需求进行了细致而必要的划分,指出了农机化需求链分为三个相互联系的链条。通过对农户之间关于对农机实体需求及对农机作业服务需求的博弈分析,作者指出,当前中国农机化的主要问题是农户日益增长的对大型或高性能农机作业服务的需求没有得到应有的满足,从而制约了中国农机化的发展。当前及今后相当长的时期内,政府工作的重点是对农机专业大户或农机作业服务公司进行适当补贴,依此来带动中国农机化的健康快速发展。

It is essential that the thinking is correct for analyzing the agricultural mechanization of China. If the thinking is incorrect, the conclusion got is often specious. Analyzing the agricultural mechanization question in terms of demand chain is the key to catching the question. The author has carried on careful and essential division to the peasant households＇ demand for the agricultural machinery, and have pointed out that the agricultural mechanization demand chain is divided into three chains connected each other. Through analyzing the author points out, the subject matter of China＇s agricultural mechanization is that the demand for the large-scale or high-performance agricultural machinery homework which peasant households increase day by day has not received due satisfaction, thus this restricted the development of the Chinese agricultural machinery. At present and in a quite long period in the future, the focal point of the government work should be subsidizing the peasant households or setvice companies with large-scale agricultural machinery.