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我国外汇储备增长与物价波动的理论分析与实证分析 被引量:43

The Theoretical and Experimental Analysis of Foreign Exchange Reserves and Price Fluctuation in China
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摘要 Since 1994,the foreign exchange reserve of our country went up continuously,especially began to enter the stage of increasing rapidly after 2000.Meanwhile,the consumer price index is lifted since 2002,after entering first quarter of 2004,all kinds of price indexes of our cotmtry demonstrate the upward trend,so the inflation pressure appears day by day.The price index fell again in 2005.Then,the foreign exchange reserve increase are there direct connections with fluctuation This text is from a short time and long-term two visual angles,analyzes the function mechanism of the foreign exchange reserve and the price of our country with theory analysis and empirical analysis together. Since 1994, the foreign exchange reserve of our country went up continuously, especially began to enter the stage of increasing rapidly after 2000. Meanwhile, the consumer price index is lifted since 2002, after entering first quarter of 2004, all kinds of price indexes of our cotmtry demonstrate the upward trend, so the inflation pressure appears day by day. The price index fell again in 2005.Then, the foreign exchange reserve increase are there direct connections with fluctuation? This text is from a short time and long-term two visual angles, analyzes the function mechanism of the foreign exchange reserve and the price of our country with theory analysis and empirical analysis together.
作者 王珍
出处 《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第7期41-45,共5页 Statistical Research
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  • 1谢多.管理浮动汇率制下的货币供给和货币政策工具协调[J].金融研究,1996(8):14-17. 被引量:8
  • 2这一点和中国1997年以来的利率政策相反,但二者本质上都是要维持独立的货币政策.
  • 3Aghevli, Bijian B., 1996, "Controlling Inflation: A Principal Policy Challenge for China," in Inflation and Growth in China, ed. by Manuel Guitian and Robert Mundell (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
  • 4Dooley, Michael, D. Mathieson, and L. Rojas-Suarez, 1997,"Capital Mobility and Exchange Market Intervention in Developing Countries," NBER Working Paper 6247.
  • 5Edwards, Sebastian, 1999, How Effective are Capital Control?Unpublished Paper.
  • 6Laurens Bernard, 1997, Relationship between Foreign Exchange Rate Policy and Operations and Economic Objectives, prepared for a seminar on Foreign Exchange Market Development held in Hangzhou, China, Nov.3 - 6, 1997.
  • 7Mishkin, Frederic S., 1999, International Experiences with Different Monetary Policy Regime, NBER Working Paper 7044.
  • 8Montiel, Peter, 1994, "Capital Mobility in Developing Countries:Some Measurement Issues and Empirical Estimates," World Bank Economic Review, 8, 3.
  • 9Krugman, P., 1999, "The Return of Depression Economics," Foreign Affairs.
  • 10数据来自《中国外汇管理年报1998》.

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