船舶舱室破损浸水概率

Probability of Flooding of Damaged Ship Compartment

着重用概率原理讨论船舶抗沉可靠性问题及对舱室破损浸水概率加以解释。给出利用全概率公式计算船舶破损后残存概率的假设条件，并推导条件概率密度函数所满足的积分方程及解的一般表达式。附带指出波兰提案中假设条件的短缺及概率密度函数的混淆之处。

The reliability of unsinkability of ship is emphatically discussed by means of probability principle, probability of flooding of the damaged compartment being explained. Suppositive conditions are given of calculating probability of surviving by using the whole probability formula. The general expression of the solution and the integral equation are deduced which satisfies conditional probability density function . The authors also point out the shortcomings of the suppositive conditions and the obscurities of the probability density function submitted by Poland.