摘要
针对城市交通路网的复杂性和不确定性,提出一种基于模糊综合评判的动态行程时间预测模型,将总行程时间分为行驶时间和交通延误时间两部分,分别介绍这两部分时间的预测模型,并利用该模型对一组模拟道路信息和路况信息进行实际预测,对预测结果进行比较和分析。研究表明该模型算法简捷实用,预测结果精度较高。
Based on the complexity and uncertainty of city traffic net, the author presents a prediction model of dynamic travel time on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. Firstly the prediction model of total travel time, running time and traffic delaying time are introduced in this paper. Secondly the author practically predicts a battery of road and traffic information with this model,compares and analyses the prediction result. Not only the algorithm of this model is precise and practical, but also the result of the prediction is of high precision.
出处
《地理与地理信息科学》
CSCD
北大核心
2006年第4期25-27,51,共4页
Geography and Geo-Information Science
基金
石家庄市科技攻关基金(03513305A)
