隧道与地下工程风险评估方法研究进展

REVIEW ON RISK ASSESSMENT METHODS FOR TUNNELLING AND UNDERGROUND PROJECTS

风险评估是隧道与地下工程风险管理的核心,是系统地识别工程风险和科学合理地管理风险之间重要的纽带,是决策分析的基础。本文介绍了隧道与地下工程风险评估的基本概念、国内外风险评估方法的研究和应用现状以及近年来主要应用的几种风险评估方法。探讨了目前风险评估方法需要解决的问题和今后的研究方向。

The risk assessment is the core of risk management for the tunnel ann underground projects, an important joint between risk identification and risk management and also a foundation of decision analysis. This paper presents a review onthe basic concept of risk assessment on the tunnel and underground projects , the present situation and the development of risk assessment methods as well as the recently most commonly used methods. The paper further discusses the problems to be solved and the future development needs on the risk assessment methods.