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基于协整方法和VAR模型的中国行政管理成本变动分析 被引量:21

The Analysis of Administrative Cost Change Based on Co-Integrate Analysis and VAR Model
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摘要 With the co-integration analysis on time series data,it can be found that there were a long-term dynamic equilibrium telation and a short-term error correction mechanism among economic development,system transferring and administration cost in 1978~2003 in China.The economic development had a promoting influence to the administration cost,and the system transfering had a negative effect to the administration cost.With the method of pulse response function and the variance decomposition based on VAR model,it can be discovered that the administration cost had a bigger response to the change rate of economic development than to that of system transferring. With the co-integration analysis on time series data, it can be found that there were a long-term dynamic equilibrium telation and a short-term error correction mechanism among economic development, system transferring and administration cost in 1978 ~ 2003 in China. The economic development had a promoting influence to the administration cost, and the system transfering had a negative effect to the administration cost. With the method of pulse response function and the variance decomposition based on VAR model, it can be discovered that the administration cost had a bigger response to the change rate of economic development than to that of system transferring.
作者 金玉国 张伟
出处 《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第8期57-62,共6页 Statistical Research
基金 国家社科基金项目<中国体制转型绩效的统计评价与实证研究>(批准号04CTJ004)的阶段性成果
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