周期理论扬弃、模型再造与中国经济增长波动——“十一五”中国经济增长速度与波动区间

The Proof to Economic Cycle,Model Rebuilding and the Increase Fluctuation of China's Economy

发达国家经济学家经济增长周期理论虽然基本没有完全脱离实际,但都存在片面性,因此必须依据马克思的思维方式才能建立起科学的经济增长与周期分析模型。周期性研究目的在于理论联系实际指导中国的具体经济增长,通过分析影响中国一定时期内经济的适度速度、波动区间及持续时间,规划时期内投资、消费与外贸,才能推进经济适度快速增长和时间的持续。

Though the economic increase cycle theories in developed countries hardly lose contact with reality, there exists some one-sidedness in them, and therefore, Marxist＇s thought should be followed in order to build a scientific model to analyze economic increase and periods. The purpose of the research is to guide the concrete economic increase via integration of theory with practice. Only by analyzing the speed, the fluctuation inter-region and continuity which influence China＇ s economy as well as investment, consumer and foreign trade within planned periods can the proper economic rapid increase and continuity be advanced.