中国服务贸易出口结构变动的实证分析

Analysis on the Export Structure Change of Chinese Service Trade

世界服务贸易结构发生了重大的变化,服务贸易的内涵不断加深,技术含量不断提高。本文在分析中国和世界服务贸易结构变化趋势的基础上,利用1999-2003年服务贸易出口数据对我国的服务贸易出口结构变动指数和结构收益指数进行了测度。结果表明中国服务贸易出口结构变动缓慢,劳动密集型和资源依赖型的服务贸易出口仍然占有绝对优势,尽管技术与资本密集型服务贸易出口增长迅速,但比重不高;中国服务贸易出口结构在不断优化,但优化幅度很小。

The world service trade structure is undergoing profound change whose connotation is deepened continuously and the technology content continues to improve. On the basis of analyzing the service trade structure change from 1999 to 2004 in China and the world, this paper utilizes the service trade export data to measure its change index as well as the structure benefit index. As a result, it shows that the export change is very slow, traditional labor-intensive and resource-dependent service trade is still taking up the dominant advantage, but the technology-intensive and capital-intensive service trade is developing very quickly. In addition, the export structures of all kinds of service trade are being optimized although the scale is very small.