中国农村独生子女的数量与分布

Size and Distribution of Chinese Rural Only-Child

文章利用2000年第五次全国人口普查0.95‰原始数据,以“乡村人口”和“农业人口”口径、“活产子女”和“存活子女”口径对中国农村独生子女的数量与分布进行了估算,并对可能的影响因素进行分析。结果发现,按照“农业人口”口径计算的农村独生子女数量,比按照“乡村人口”口径计算的结果多近900万人。农村独生子女在各省的分布并不均匀,省际间差异很大。

Based on the data of the fifth national population census, this paper estimates the size and distribution of Chinese rural only-child, and finds that a 9 million gap exists between the estimated sizes based on people who live in rural areas and based on people with registration of agricultural population. Variation can be seen in provincial distribution.