我国及OECD国家卫生费用增长与经济发展规律的探讨

A Study on the Law Between Health Expenditure and Economy Development in China and OECD Countries

目的探讨我国及OECD(经济合作组织)国家卫生费用增长与经济发展间的规律。方法描述性分析了我国及OECD国家的卫生费用和经济增长情况,在此基础上对卫生费用增长与GDP等有关经济指标间的关系进行统计分析。结果与绝大多数OECD国家一样,我国人均卫生费用的增长快于同期人均GDP的增长,并且各国人均卫生费用与人均GDP之间存在显著的正相关关系。1978—2003年期间,我国人均卫生费用与人均GDP之间的直线回归模型为:人均卫生费用=-16.533+0.057×(人均GDP),R2=0.972,P<0.01。结论随着社会经济的不断发展,各国卫生费用的增长成为必然,但政府在卫生领域的投入力度以及国家卫生体制改革对控制卫生费用的合理增长具有重要作用。

Objective To discuss the law between health expenditure and economic development in China and OECD countries. Methods Based on the descriptive analysis of health expenditure and economy development, the relationship between health expenditure and GDP was then studied. Results Analogous to most OECD countries, the annual increase in per capita spending on health care has generally outpaced economic growth per capita in China, and there was a significant and positive relationship between per capita health spending and GDP.In the year 1978-2003, the linear regression model between per capita health spending and GDP is. per capita health spending=-16.533＋0.057× （per capita GDP）, R^2=0.972, P〈0.01, Conclusion With the development of economy, it is inevitable that health expenditure in those countries will increase.However, government health inputs and health system reform could play an important role on the control of health spending.