铁矿石进口价格态势分析

ANALYSIS ON PRICE TREND OF IRON ORE IMPORTATION

对重要矿产资源的需求总量持续扩大是我国处在工业化发展速度加快进程中的一个显著特征。但与此相对应的是,我国的人均矿产资源拥有量在世界上仍处于较低水平。一些需求量大、品位高的矿产资源,尤其是铁矿石等重要矿产资源,供需矛盾日益突出。近年来,国内铁矿石产量已经无法满足钢铁工业的发展,铁矿石供应严重依赖进口。随着我国经济的持续快速发展,持续的铁矿石进口价格上涨将导致我国钢铁工业乃至全国经济发展不堪重负。因此,本文试图在分析铁矿石价格态势的基础上,提出调整钢铁产能并为我国的资源战略提供参考。

It is a significant characteristic in industrialization development in China that the whole demand for important mineral resources increases continually. Accordingly, the average mineral resources per person is still in a low level compared with the world standard. Some important mineral resources such as iron ore, which are in high demands and good quality, could not meet the demands of the market; therefore, the contradiction between supply and demand becomes more and more obvious. In recent years, the iron ore output in China can not match the demands of iron and steel industry＇s development; and the supply relies on import in a very large proportion. With the fast economy development, the continued import price increase of iron ore causes the extreme pressure for the steel industry and economy development of China. This paper analyzes the trend of iron ore＇s import price to provide some references for the steel output ability adjusting and resources strategy of China.