经济周期分析模型再造中国适用与波动论证——中国“十一五”经济增长速度与波动区间

On Establishment of Business Cycle Analytic Model, China's Application and Economic Fluctuation

发达国家经济学家的经济增长周期理论,虽然基本没有完全脱离实际,但都存在片面性。因此必须依据马克思的思维方式才能建立起科学的经济增长与周期分析模型。周期性研究目的在于理论联系实际,指导中国的经济增长,通过分析影响中国一定时期内经济的适度速度、波动区间及持续时间,规划时期内投资、消费与外贸。

Although Western theories of business cycle have something to do with the reality, they are one-sided. We must establish a scientific analytic model for economic development and business cycle. The study of business cycle can be applied to practice. Through analyzing the appropriate development speed of economy in a certain period, the fluctuating period, the investment, consumption and foreign trade in planned periods, we can maintain the steady and sustained development of economy.