从制造业看中国工业化数量背后的质量

On China's industrialization quality from its quantity in the field of manufacture

新型工业化发展道路要求工业的发展带动其他产业的发展,本文通过回归模型分析(SAS软件)论证了我国制造业促进第一、第三产业的发展。然而通过比较改革开放以来两个时期制造业的一些变化并进行实证分析得出,在这些可喜的数字后面,我国的制造业内部结构存在着外部替代效应、内部替代效应等质量上的问题,并运用外商直接投资技术转移过程图分析其原因。最后从经济增长、经济发展的角度总结了问题所在,并相应提出几点建议。

New - style industrialization development road requires that industry development drives other industries. This paper usea regression model analysis （ SAS Software） to discuss that China＇s manufacture drives industrial development of the first industry and secondary industry. However, comparison and positive analysis of the change of manufacture in two periods since reform and opening to outside world show that the good data reveal that inner structure of China＇s manufacture has quality problems in external substitute effect and inner substitute effect. The reasons are analyzed by using foreign direct investment technology transfer process diagram. The problems are analyzed from the angle of economic growth and economic development and suggestions are provided.