基于期望满足概率的公交发车间隔计算模型

The Calculation Model of Bus Frequency Based on Expected Probability

针对目前已有发车间隔计算模型存在的问题,如计算过于复杂,无法反映公交服务水平等,本文在充分分析时段内的公交线路客流规律的基础上,得出了基于期望满足概率的公交车发车间隔计算模型,最后对模型进行了实例应用。

To solve the existing problem of dispating compute mode that are unable to reflect the public transportation service level or too difficult to apply in reality,this paper systematically analyzes the passenger flow rule of public transportation line,and establishes the headway computation model based on expected probability.It also introduces its application.