摘要
考虑到电力对国家社会经济发展的重要性,本文研究了我国电力生产的预测模型。鉴于我国电力生产时间序列数据的完备性,在对该时间序列进行平稳性检验的基础上,比较分析建立了我国电力生产量的ARIMA模型,并运用所建立模型进行了预测。
This paper studies China＇s electric power production forecast models. In view of the fact that the electric power productive data is completeness,the paper examines the stability of the data and compares some ARIMA models about China＇s electric power production, then conducts the forecast research using the better model.
出处
《价值工程》
2006年第9期113-116,共4页
Value Engineering
关键词
发电量
ARIMA模型
预测
electric power production
ARIMA model
forecast
