基于公路网的交通量预测方法探究

Research on Traffic Forecasting Method Based on Highway Network

本文分析了逻辑斯蒂曲线和定标模型S曲线的特征和参数标定。在此基础上提出将这两种曲线模型结合起来的交通量预测模型,并应用于规划公路网路段的交通量预测,取得了较好的预测结果。

This paper first analyzes the character and parameter demarcating of Logistic Curve and Picketage Model＇s S Curve, then puts forward a traffic forecasting method based on this two curve models. The model was applied in highway network and was succeed in traffic forecasting.