摘要
改革开放后的区域经济差异持续扩大是促动我国人口迁移空前活跃的主要因素,而日趋活跃的人口迁移亦对区域经济差异产生均衡作用。本文通过测算我国1985-2000年各省区在人口迁移前后“人口—GDP”的基尼系数变化,验证了人口迁移对区域经济发展不均衡的减缓作用。在此基础上,测算区域经济达到均衡状态下的各省区理论人口和人口迁移潜力,并重点分析了县一级行政地域的理论人口和人口迁移潜力分布。
The big regional economic difference after the reform and opening-up is the major driving force of the population migration in China, And the active population migration also has equilibration effect upon regional economic difference. This paper, by examining the change of ＂population-GDP＂ ginicoefficient before and after the population migration of the provinces during 1985-2000, validates that population migration can mitigate the unbalanced development of regional economy, Then, it calculates the theoretical population and population migration potential at provincial level with emphasis on that of the county level on the condition of the equilibrated regional economic development.
出处
《城市规划》
CSSCI
北大核心
2006年第9期52-56,共5页
City Planning Review
基金
国家自然科学基金重点项目(40435013)
教育部985二期"城市化与城市科学"科技平台资助
关键词
区域经济差异
基尼系数
理论人口
人口迁移潜力
县
regional economic difference
ginicoefficient
theoretica population
population migration potential
county
