高速公路运营收入支出预测模型研究及应用

Study of the Model of Highway Operation Income and Disbursement Prediction and Its Applications

在运营收入和支出构成因素分析的基础上,根据收费及成本管理理论构建运营收入和支出的预测模型,并依托工程对预测模型进行应用性研究。预测结果表明,模型的近期预测误差控制在5%以内,完全符合财务评价要求。

A model of operation income and disbursement has been built according to the theory of charge and cost management based on an analysis of the constitution factors of operation income and disbursement, and a study on the prediction model has been carried out considering projects. The result indicated that the model＇s short - term prediction error is controlled with 5 %, which conforms with the financial . appraisal requirements.