摘要
统计分析北部湾海雾的气候特征及其形成的天气形势背景,分析对海雾形成有重要影响的因素,建立回归预报方程,确定预报临界值。根据预报临界值和相似原理,在相应历史样本库中找相似个例,根据相似个例和北部湾出现海雾的概率制作海雾预报。
The climatic characteristics of sea fog in Beibuwan and the background of synoptic situation of sea fog formation, are statistically analyzed, and the important factors on the sea fog formation is got. The sea fog regression equitation based on these factors is establised, the forecast critical value for the forecast is determined. Based on the forecast critical value and the similarity theory, find the similar sample from the historical sample database is found. Finally, the sea fog forecase in Beibuwan is made according to the probability.
出处
《海洋预报》
2006年第B09期68-72,共5页
Marine Forecasts
关键词
海雾
特征
分析
预报
sea fog
characteristics
analysis
forecast
