摘要
本文采用求和自回归移动平均模型(ARIMA),对《新中国五十年统计资料汇编》及《2004年广西统计年鉴》提供的广西全社会固定资产投资额数据进行分析。结果显示,ARIMA(1,2,1)模型提供了较准确的预测结果,可用于未来的预测。就此,可为广西全社会固定资产投资提供可靠的参考依据。
This articale analyses the data of fixed assets investment furnished by the Guangxi statistics yearbook and new china about fifty years statistics compilation with ARIMA model. The analyses show that ARIMA（ 1,2, 1）provides comparatively precise comparatively estimation results, which can offer a reason able basis for Guangxi social fixed assets investment.
出处
《数理统计与管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2006年第5期588-592,共5页
Journal of Applied Statistics and Management
