灰色马尔可夫链在道路交通事故预测中的应用

The Application in the Prediction of Road Accidents based on Gray Markov Chain Model

将灰色系统理论与马尔可夫链相结合,建立道路交通事故灰色马尔可夫链预测模型。研究证明,这种模型的预测精度高于GM(1,1)模型,可用于道路交通事故预测。

Gray model and Markov chain are integeated to set up road accidents model of gray Markov chain. The research shows that the precision of gray-Markov model for forecasting road accidents is better than that of gray model and the model can be used for road accidents forecast.