一种基于证据理论的动态综合效绩评价实用方法

The Practical Method of Dynamically Evaluating the Comprehensive Performance Based on Evidential Reasoning

本文针对一体化管理体系综合绩效的多指标、多层次、评价标准模糊,且属性复杂等评价特点,建立了综合绩效评价体系;提出了基于证据理论的动态综合模糊评价方法;给出了具体的评价步骤;按指标属性将评价指标区分为定性和定量两类:对各指标进行量化、一致性和无量纲化处理;从评价体系准则层开始进行动态立体综合评价;逐层合成综合绩效值。最后通过实例说明该方法的实用性和科学性。

It is very difficult to give satisfactory evaluation on comprehensive performance of the organization with practiced IMS（integrated management system）, because of multi-layer,multi-index, many non-precise and complex variables in it. Based upon the evidential reasoning, a new solution of dynamically evaluating with uncertain information in multi-attribute hierarchical evaluation process is proposed, and the comprehensive performance evaluation index system is build up. The steps of this method is that, firstly, all evaluating indexes are divided into two parts： qualitative and quantitative items; secondly,each item is standardized; thirdly, from bottom layer, each item is analyzed dynamically and comprehensively, and the synthesis of the evaluated compositors is got by integrating each evaluation. Finally, applying the method proposed to evaluating the management, actuality of an enterprise shows that the method is practical and scientific.