摘要
文章根据近年来中国劳动统计年鉴中的数据,分析了福建省基本养老金收支现状分析,并利用灰色系统预测中的GM(1,1)模型,对未来养老金支付的安全系数进行了预测,其结果表明:福建省养老金支付的安全系数日趋“脆弱”。
According to the statistical yearbook data in the recent years, the paper has analyzed the present situation of basic pension funds of Fujian Province. Then the paper uses the GM （ 1,1 ） model of the gray system to predict the future pension payment safety coefficient. The result indicates that the safety coefficient of pension payment of Fujian Province is day by day ＂frail＂.
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
2006年第5期80-83,共4页
Journal of Statistics and Information
关键词
基本养老金
灰预测
安全系数
basic pension funds
gray forecast
safety coefficient
