摘要
[目的]为了更好地完善城市儿童保健工作,进一步降低5岁以下儿童死亡率,本文对我国东北某城区5岁以下儿童死亡问题进行分析.[方法]对近四年的监测资料进行死因分析,同时分死因评估DALY损失,并对死亡率使用灰色模型（GM）进行拟合、预测.[结果]新生儿和婴儿期主要死因为先天异常,1～4岁儿童的白血病和意外死亡不容忽视.四年来5岁以下儿童死亡共损失3 235.5个DALY（失能调整生命年）.（M拟合效果好,2005年预测死亡率为10.71（1/1 000）.[结论]先天异常、白血病和意外死亡严重威胁5岁以下儿童的生命,必须加大防治力度.DALY可以更好的评价儿童死亡,GM对5岁以下儿童死亡率的拟合效果较好,可以应用于预测.
[Objective] To study the death problem of child below 5 years old,and to improve the health care of child and reduce the death rate of child below 5 years old. [Methods] The cause of death was analysed,DAI.Y was calculated according to the cause of death. The death rate of child below 5 years old was predicted by GM. [Results] The main cause of newborn period and infant period was congenital abnormity,leucocythemia and death of suddenness could not be ignored in 1-4 years old children. 3 235.5 DALY were lost during 4 years. The fitting effect of GM was well, the forcast mortality of 2005 was 10.71（1/1 000）. [Conclusions] Congenital abnormity,leucocythemia and death of suddenness threaten the life of child below 5 years old severely,it must be prevented and cured. DALY can evaluate death of child well, GM chould be used to predict the death rate of child below 5 years old.
出处
《中国儿童保健杂志》
CAS
2006年第4期394-396,共3页
Chinese Journal of Child Health Care
