上海不同所有制经济总量及结构调整预测

Forecasting Shanghai different ownership economy gross and structur adjustment

本文分别从含技术约束的Cobb-Dauglas生产函数,Harrod的资本产出之间比例关系两个角度构建上海市经济总量预测模型,并通过资本形成总量、固定资产投资总量以及就业人口等中间变量数据的预算对“十一五”期间上海不同所有制经济总量及其结构调整态势进行测算。

This paper applies economic methods to forecast and research comprehensively the gross and the structures of economy growth, and to study on the growth aim and the problems relating to macroeconomic background. On the basis of Cobb-Dauglas production function and Harrod proportion of capital stock to GDP, this paper constructs a series of quantitative models. As a conclusion,we propose the forecat of Shanghai ownership economy gross and structural adjustment during the period of ＂1 lth five-year plan＂.