摘要
本文将云南地区分为三个地震预报区,利用马尔科夫齐次模型,分别计算了其未来5年和10年时间内可能发生M≥6.0、M≥6.5和M≥7.0级地震的概率。
This paper sub-divides Yunnan into three areas for earthquake forecasts. Probabilities of strong shock occurrences r spectivcly of M≥6.0, M≥6.5, M≥ 7.0 events in time ranges of the next 5 and 10 years arc respectively calculated using the Markovian homogeneous model.
出处
《地震研究》
CSCD
北大核心
1990年第2期139-144,共6页
Journal of Seismological Research
关键词
活动性
地震
概率
预测
Scismicity, Probability of earthquake occurrences, Markovian model, Strong shock forecasts
