摘要
基于中国加入WTO的背景,建立了在国有资产逐步撤离的过程中,外商与国内的金融机构同时对国内企业投资的动力学模型。通过对连续和离散两种情形下的投资模型的分析与比较,证明了资金的投入周期与项目的固有周期发生冲突是造成投资风险的原因。指出间歇投资的投资商为了获得高额利润而加大投资力度的行为会增大投资风险,甚至引发混沌。
Based on China＇ s entry to the WTO, a dynamics model is established to describe the situation that both foreign enterprises and domestic financial institutions are investing in domestic enterprises with the State-owned assets withdrawing gradually. It uses the non-linear theory to analyze and compare the difference between the continuous and discrete investment model. Furthermore, it is proved that the reason why the risks are caused in investment is the conflict between the periodicity of investment and inherent cycle of investment project. Finally, it indicates that investors＇ expansion in investment for profits can increase the risks in investment, even may cause the phenomena of chaos.
出处
《复杂系统与复杂性科学》
EI
CSCD
2006年第1期59-66,共8页
Complex Systems and Complexity Science
基金
国家自然科学基金(70401013)
国家博士后基金(2003033498)
江苏省教育厅基金(03KJD110070)
关键词
投资
动力学模型
连续
离散
混沌
investment
dynamics model
continuous
discrete
chaos
