中国在国际气候变化谈判中的立场:连续性与变化及其原因探析

China’s Position in the Negotiations on International Climate Change:Continuities and Changes

随着中国经济的快速发展,中国对全球气候变化的影响越来越大,国际社会对中国在国际气候变化谈判中的政策和立场也越来越关注。文章通过对1990年以来中国在国际气候变化谈判中立场的历史考察,认为16年来中国的立场稳中有变,不变的是中国坚持不承诺量化减排温室气体,变化的是以比过去更灵活、更合作的态度参与国际气候变化谈判。文章以减缓成本、生态脆弱性和公平原则三个变量解释了中国立场的“变”与“不变”。

With its rapid economic growth, China is playing an increasingly more significant role in global climate change, and its policy and position in the negotiations on international climate change have aroused more concern from the international society. Observing China’s historical positions since the 1990s, the author argues that there are both continuities and changes: what has not changed is that China still refuses to make a binding greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions reduction commitment, while China’s attitude toward the international climate negotiations has become more flexible and cooperative. Abatement costs, ecological vulnerabilities, and principles of equity are the major factors contributing to the continuities and changes in China’s position.