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试论图书馆预测学 被引量:14

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摘要 针对于图书馆“物理拥有”的不可包容性和“获取”所带来的机遇,笔者首先提出了图书馆预测学的概念及内容,在从理论层面加以论证的基础上,通过案例的实际操作,验证出理论的可行性,从而指导实际工作。
作者 张亮 宫宇
出处 《图书馆界》 2006年第3期33-36,共4页 Library World
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参考文献10

  • 1高波,吴慰慈.信息技术与馆藏空间结构的变革[J].大学图书馆学报,2000,18(6):45-50. 被引量:46
  • 2刘兹恒,张久珍.对存取与拥有的再思考[J].图书馆杂志,2000,19(12):12-16. 被引量:58
  • 3刘国钧.什么是图书馆学[J].中国科学院图书馆通讯,1957,(1):1-5.
  • 4孙明玺.现代预测学[M].杭州:浙江教育出版社,1984.
  • 5Ю.В.Чуеь,Прогнозирование количественньⅠх процесов,1975
  • 6Markridakis, Spyros and Others :Forecasting Method and Application, 1978(1983年第二版)
  • 7William Sullivan, W. Wayne Claycombe, Fundamentals of Forecasting, 1977
  • 8Г.М.Добров,Прогнозирование науки и техники,1977
  • 9Harry Jones, Brian C. Twiss, Forecasting Technology for Planning Decision,1978
  • 10Erich Jantsch, Technological Forecasting in Perspective, 1967

二级参考文献16

  • 1陈生明.社会信息化与电子出版物[J].中国出版,1999(2):56-58. 被引量:6
  • 2[1]Karen Commings. Access over ownership. Computers in Libraries, 1997,17(4):24~26
  • 3[2]Schafer - J; Thornton - G - A. From ownership to access: reengineering library services. Reference - Librarian, (63) 1999:25~40
  • 4[3]Kingma- B - R. Economic issues in document delivery:access versus ownership and library consortia. Serials Librarian. 1998,34(1/2):203~11
  • 5[4]Payne - V - J; Burke - M - A. A cost effectiveness study of ownership versus access. Serials Librarian. 1997,32(3/4):139~52
  • 6[5]Kane - L - T. Access vs ownership: do we have to make a choice. College and Research Libtraries. 1997,58(1):59~67
  • 7[6]Line - M - B. Access versus ownership: how real an alternative is it? IFLA Journal, 1996,22(1):35~41
  • 8[7]Simpson - D - B. Resource sharing = access + ownership: balancing the equaton in an unbalanced world. Journal of Library Administration. 1994,20(1):95~107
  • 9[8]Hoadley - I - B. Access vs ownetrship:myth or reality. Library Acquisitions:Practice and Theory. 1993,17(2):191~5
  • 10[9]Brin, Beth; Cochran, Elissa. Access and ownership in the academic environment: One library's progress report. Journal of Academic Librarianship, 1994,20(4):207

共引文献129

同被引文献45

引证文献14

二级引证文献28

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