文献增长的机理分析

Mechanism Analysis of the Document Growth

本文在对几种主要的文献增长模型进行评介的基础上，利用层次分析法对文献增长机理进行了分析，并以此建立了我国文献出版量的多元线性回归模型，从而从定性和定量上论证了科技人员人数、社会购买力。

Based on analyzing the several important document growth models and using the Analytic Hierarchy Process,this paper analyzes the mechanism of the document growth.Accordingly,the author established a pluralistic regression model for the document publication quantity of our country,and it proved to be that the most important factors of influencing the document growth are the scientific research personnel quantity,the social purchasing power,the publishing house quantity and the social total value.