福建入境旅游客源市场基本格局与发展态势预测

Basic structure of Fujian inbound tourists source markets and prediction of their development

分析了福建入境旅游客源市场的基本格局,引用1996-2005年的入境游客数据,采用灰色预测模型,对日本、“东盟五国”(新、马、泰、菲律宾和印尼)、美国、加拿大、“欧盟四国”(英国、德国、法国、意大利)、澳大利亚、新西兰、俄罗斯等15个主要客源国和我国港澳台地区的入境游客数量发展态势进行预测。并提出了开拓福建入境旅游客源市场的对策。

Basic structure of Fujian inbound tourists source markets is analyzed. The inbound tourists data during between 1996 and 2005 and grey forecasting model are used to predict the increasing of inbound tourists from 15 countries such as Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia, USA, Canada, Britain, Germany, France, Italy, Australia, New Zealand and Russia as well as China＇s Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan. Meanwhile the countermeasures to open up Fujian inbound tourists source markets are proposed.