中国油气资源现状及21世纪初期展望

China's Hydrocarbon Resources:Current Situation and Prospects for the early 21st Century

中国石油资源潜力巨大,可采资源量为93.13亿吨。新疆和大陆架分别有待发现的石油可采资源量9.61和9.66亿吨,是我国石油生产的主要战略接替区。常规天然气的可采资源量为6.69万亿立方米,主要分布于中部和西北部。预计2000、2010和2020年,中国石油产量将分别达到1.52～1.56亿吨、1.6～2.0亿吨和2.0～2.3亿吨;天然气产量将分别达到230～300亿立方米、500～600亿立方米和700～1000亿立方米。天然气生产的增长速度将远快于石油。发展中国油气工业的根本对策是:加快改革开放,强化油气勘探。具体内容包括:理顺上下游的关系,由多家进行油气勘探开发,扩大对外合作,加大对上游业的投资,陆海并重、油气并举,开拓油气勘探的新思路、新领域。

China has great petroleum potential, possessing 9. 313 billion tons of recoverable petroleum resources. In particular, Xinjiang and the continental shelf, two major strategic oil production replacement regions, contain 961 and 966 Mt of recoverable oil resources respectively. China's 6. 69 Tcm of recoverable conventional natural gas are distributed primarily in central and northwestern China. It is estimated that China's annual oil and gas production will reach 152 - 156 Mt and 23-30 Bern in 2000, 160~200 Mt and 50-60 Bcm in 2010, and 200-230 Mt and 70 - 100 Bern in 2020. Gas production will increase much faster than oil production. Development of China's petroleum industry is based on accelerating reform and international participation, and intensifying oil and gas exploration. Specifically, policy calls for creating a rational relationship between upstream and downstream industry, diversifying participation in hydrocarbon E&D and expanding foreign collaboration, increasing capital investment in upstream industry, laying equal emphasis on onshore and offshore resources, concurrently developing oil and gas, and employing new concepts to open new areas for hydrocarbon exploration.