贵州经济增长中人力资本效应的实证分析

A Positive Analysis of the Effect of Human Capital on Guizhou's Economic Growth

在1952-2002年间,物质资本形成、劳动力投入是贵州省经济发展的重要因素,但人力资本积累对贵州省经济增长更为重要。贵州省要在新一轮经济增长中取得优势,应该树立教育是战略性主导产业,教育投资是基础性和生产性投资的观念,提高教育总量水平和人力资本配置效率,从依赖总量扩张拉动经济增长的方式向提高劳动者素质来获取经济增长的方式转变。文章借鉴现代经济增长理论和计量经济学理论,通过测算不同因素对经济增长的贡献份额,揭示其对经济增长的作用机制,并提出若干政策建议。

This paper focuses on some important factors which influenced Guizhou＇ s economic growth from 1952 to 2002. The author holds that both physical capital formation and labor input have played important roles in Guizhou＇ s economic development. However, accumulation of human capital is more important than the former. Therefore, if Guizhou province wants to get advantages in the new period of economic growth, the education sector should become the strategically leading one. Investment in education is a basic and productive concept. Improvements in levels of education and the efficiency of the human capital＇ s configuration depends on the transformation of the way of economic growth, from gross extending to improving the labor force＇ s qualities. Borrowing ideas from modem theories of growth and the theory of econometrics, the paper attempts to expound how they have affected and will affect growth by measuring the contribution of the above - mentioned factors . As a further step the paper makes some suggestions on making policies.