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基于P-S方法的金融危机预警研究

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摘要 金融危机预警系统是指应用某种统计方法预测某国或某经济体在一定时间范围内发生货币危机、银行危机以及股市崩溃可能性大小的宏观金融监测系统。危机的早期预警可以使人们在金融危机爆发前,对于危机的发生和传导有一个客观理性的分析判断,促使有关国家的决策当局采取相应对策,可能改变相关的某些制度性安排,从而影响金融危机的国际传导进程。
作者 陈卫华
出处 《投资研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第11期35-39,共5页 Review of Investment Studies
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