基于自助法的Bayes小子样精度评定

Evaluation of Accuracy in Bayesian Small Samples Based on Bootstrap

文中研究了小子样场合下,在考虑损失函数及无损失函数情况下Bayes试验鉴定的主要思路,并且从工程应用的角度出发,在小子样条件下讨论了如何利用验前信息与现场子样来对导弹的命中精度进行评定。作者将自助法与Bayes方法相结合运用在实际的问题中,并分析了该方法犯两类错误的概率。

In this paper, we discuss the main thoughts of Bayesian evaluation in small samples on the occasion of possessing expense function and not possessing, From the point of project application, the method of how to utilize the pre_experimental information and experimental samples to evaluate the accuracy has been put forward and the author analyze its probability of making two mistakes.